Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.330892 0.356492 0.383894 0.415541 0.451247 0.490480 0.537121
2025-02-02 0.290773 0.330274 0.376136 0.434071 0.506414 0.595337 0.715502
2025-02-09 0.256096 0.302063 0.358700 0.435355 0.539315 0.680176 0.894891
2025-02-16 0.227189 0.275282 0.337158 0.425387 0.553119 0.740860 1.059657
2025-02-23 0.208710 0.258685 0.325397 0.424993 0.578045 0.821244 1.282510
2025-03-02 0.191936 0.242067 0.310936 0.417584 0.589731 0.882245 1.496277
2025-03-09 0.177795 0.227442 0.297280 0.408818 0.596689 0.935770 1.719917
2025-03-16 0.166226 0.215277 0.285718 0.401350 0.603820 0.990642 1.976068
2025-03-23 0.160426 0.210772 0.284854 0.410532 0.641347 1.115562 2.494525
2025-03-30 0.151927 0.201584 0.275894 0.404912 0.650156 1.182179 2.902778
2025-04-06 0.141606 0.188979 0.260579 0.386620 0.631250 1.180195 3.083557
2025-04-13 0.132343 0.177449 0.246174 0.368534 0.610165 1.168100 3.224696
2025-04-20 0.128260 0.173861 0.244667 0.374158 0.640740 1.301447 4.164771
2025-04-27 0.126697 0.174147 0.249637 0.392624 0.703973 1.556997 6.348901
2025-05-04 0.122244 0.169592 0.246159 0.394714 0.731206 1.724145 8.685215
2025-05-11 0.116460 0.162553 0.237898 0.386446 0.732085 1.806902 10.791663
2025-05-18 0.112461 0.158164 0.233886 0.386233 0.753186 1.976921 15.339941
2025-05-25 0.107856 0.152520 0.227249 0.379852 0.757044 2.084936 20.521568
2025-06-01 0.103435 0.146953 0.220375 0.372253 0.756243 2.175782 27.478996
2025-06-08 0.099502 0.142007 0.214308 0.365761 0.757387 2.279346 38.867188
2025-06-15 0.097841 0.140775 0.214890 0.373751 0.802050 2.635853 99.017590
2025-06-22 0.094594 0.136690 0.209929 0.368865 0.807278 2.791477 206.893197
2025-06-29 0.090132 0.130355 0.200445 0.352925 0.775489 2.710053 239.962425